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Major overestimation of the number of participants in new labour market policy measures

Between the years 2006–2015 the Government systematically overestimated the number of future participants in new labour market measures. This has meant ineffective use of the Swedish Public Employment Service's appropriation and increased risk of incorrect priorities, shows the Swedish National Audit Office audit.

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Audit background

Labour market policies should contribute to improved labour market matching. As part of this work the Swedish Public Employment Service allocates people to various labour market policy programmes and measures to strengthen the individual’s opportunities to obtain or retain a job.

In the period 2006–2015 the Government introduced more than 20 new labour market policy measures. An important part of the Government’s preparations for new labour market policy measures is to forecast the number of participants. These volume forecasts are made for example to calculate costs and priorities between different expenditures in the central government budget. They also act as reference data for long-term forecasts of employment and unemployment.

The volume forecasts thus fulfil several important functions. At the same time there have been indications that the labour market policy measures launched by the Government in several cases have not achieved the expected number of participants. In view of this, the Swedish NAO decided to audit the Government’s volume forecasts of new labour market policy measures.

The purpose of the audit has been to examine the accuracy of the Government’s volume forecasts of new labour market policy measures as well as to assess whether they are performed in such a way as to enable reliable future forecasts of volumes.

Press contact: Olle Castelius, phone: +46 8-5171 40 04.

Presskontakt: , telefon: 08-5171 42 06.

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Updated: 15 August 2018

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